One Page Season

NFL & College Football Game Predictions

Who will win? 10,000 simulations per game, built from this season's results.

NFL Week 8: upcoming games

See all NFL predictions →

Track record: no graded predictions yet (13 pending). Predictions are saved before kickoff and graded after the final.

College football Week 10: ranked-team games

Games with at least one AP or CFP ranked team.

See all college predictions →

Track record: 8-5 (61.5%) on graded predictions this season, 63 pending.

For entertainment only, not gambling advice. These are computer estimates from past results and they are often wrong. If you choose to gamble, you must be 21+ (or the legal age where you live). Play responsibly; if gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

How the simulator works

Each team gets a rating from this season's ESPN results: its average scoring margin, adjusted for how good its opponents were (strength of schedule), plus a 25% nudge for how its last 3 games compared with that rating. The home team gets a 1.0-point edge, measured from this season's home results (none at neutral sites). We then play each game 10,000 times with random margins drawn from a bell curve (spread 10.4 points, fit from how far results landed from the ratings) and report how often each side wins. Built from 108 completed games. Teams with fewer than 2 completed games are not rated.