OnePageSeason
One Page Season

NFL Week 8 Predictions 2026

14 games · win % and projected scores from 10,000 simulations each

For entertainment only, not gambling advice. These are computer estimates from past results and they are often wrong. If you choose to gamble, you must be 21+ (or the legal age where you live). Play responsibly; if gambling stops being fun, call or text 1-800-GAMBLER for free, confidential help.

Season record: no graded predictions yet (13 pending). Predictions are saved before kickoff and graded after the final.

Runs 10,000 simulations per game in your browser.

Carolina Panthers at Green Bay Packers

Thu Oct 29 · 8:15 PM EDT

Final: Panthers 19, Packers 27

You can still run the simulator. It uses current team ratings, which include this result; it is not a pre-game prediction.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Baltimore Ravens at Buffalo Bills

Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM EST

35%Ravens25
65%Bills29

Our prediction: Buffalo Bills · Win probability Ravens 35.2% / Bills 64.9%

Projected score: Ravens 25, Bills 29

  • Bills (5-1) rate +2.3 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Ravens (4-3) −0.7.
  • Bills score 32.8 and allow 28.5 per game; Ravens score 24.1 and allow 23.9.
  • Bills are at home; home teams have won by 1.0 points more on average in this season's data, as we weight it.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Tennessee Titans at Cincinnati Bengals

Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM EST

7%Titans14
93%Bengals29

Our prediction: Cincinnati Bengals · Win probability Titans 7.2% / Bengals 92.8%

Projected score: Titans 14, Bengals 29

  • Bengals (4-2) rate +6.7 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Titans (1-6) −7.7.
  • Bengals score 27.2 and allow 20.3 per game; Titans score 15.4 and allow 22.3.
  • Bengals have faced the tougher schedule (average opponent +1.8 vs −2.9 for Titans).

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Arizona Cardinals at Dallas Cowboys

Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM EST

19%Cardinals21
81%Cowboys30

Our prediction: Dallas Cowboys · Win probability Cardinals 19.3% / Cowboys 80.7%

Projected score: Cardinals 21, Cowboys 30

  • Cowboys (3-4) rate −0.2 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Cardinals (2-5) −7.6.
  • Cowboys score 27 and allow 25.7 per game; Cardinals score 20.3 and allow 29.7.
  • Cowboys are at home; home teams have won by 1.0 points more on average in this season's data, as we weight it.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions

Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM EST

57%Vikings24
44%Lions22

Our prediction: Minnesota Vikings · Win probability Vikings 56.5% / Lions 43.5%

Projected score: Vikings 24, Lions 22

  • Vikings (6-0) rate +6.5 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Lions (4-2) +1.3.
  • Vikings have been worse lately: last 3 results W by 5, W by 10, W by 6.
  • Lions score 30.7 and allow 27.5 per game; Vikings score 20.8 and allow 12.3.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Las Vegas Raiders at New York Jets

Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM EST

34%Raiders22
66%Jets26

Our prediction: New York Jets · Win probability Raiders 34.0% / Jets 66.0%

Projected score: Raiders 22, Jets 26

  • Raiders have been worse lately: last 3 results L by 28, L by 3, L by 14.
  • Jets (2-5) rate −1.3 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Raiders (3-4) −2.5.
  • Jets are at home; home teams have won by 1.0 points more on average in this season's data, as we weight it.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Cleveland Browns at Pittsburgh Steelers

Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM EST

28%Browns17
72%Steelers23

Our prediction: Pittsburgh Steelers · Win probability Browns 27.9% / Steelers 72.1%

Projected score: Browns 17, Steelers 23

  • Steelers (5-2) rate +3.0 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Browns (5-2) −0.8.
  • Steelers score 21.9 and allow 19.7 per game; Browns score 19 and allow 20.9.
  • Steelers are at home; home teams have won by 1.0 points more on average in this season's data, as we weight it.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Atlanta Falcons at Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM EST

31%Falcons21
70%Buccaneers26

Our prediction: Tampa Bay Buccaneers · Win probability Falcons 30.5% / Buccaneers 69.5%

Projected score: Falcons 21, Buccaneers 26

  • Buccaneers have been better lately: last 3 results W by 8, L by 7, W by 30.
  • Buccaneers (2-5) rate +3.7 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Falcons (3-4) +1.3.
  • Buccaneers score 23.1 and allow 21.6 per game; Falcons score 24.4 and allow 24.7.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Indianapolis Colts at Jacksonville Jaguars

Sun Nov 1 · 1:00 PM EST

17%Colts18
83%Jaguars28

Our prediction: Jacksonville Jaguars · Win probability Colts 16.6% / Jaguars 83.4%

Projected score: Colts 18, Jaguars 28

  • Jaguars (4-2) rate +7.0 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Colts (2-5) −3.2.
  • Jaguars score 25.7 and allow 17.3 per game; Colts score 22 and allow 25.7.
  • Jaguars have been worse lately: last 3 results W by 5, W by 2, L by 3.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Los Angeles Chargers at Los Angeles Rams

Sun Nov 1 · 4:05 PM EST

24%Chargers18
76%Rams25

Our prediction: Los Angeles Rams · Win probability Chargers 24.2% / Rams 75.8%

Projected score: Chargers 18, Rams 25

  • Rams (3-4) rate −0.5 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Chargers (0-6) −7.8.
  • Rams score 24.3 and allow 22.7 per game; Chargers score 15 and allow 25.2.
  • Chargers have faced the tougher schedule (average opponent −0.2 vs −2.2 for Rams).

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos

Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 PM EST

46%Chiefs20
54%Broncos21

Our prediction: Denver Broncos · Win probability Chiefs 46.3% / Broncos 53.7%

Projected score: Chiefs 20, Broncos 21

  • Broncos score 20.6 and allow 20.1 per game; Chiefs score 23.8 and allow 17.2.
  • Chiefs have been worse lately: last 3 results W by 3, W by 16, L by 17.
  • Broncos have faced the tougher schedule (average opponent +0.3 vs −3.1 for Chiefs).

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

New England Patriots at Miami Dolphins

Sun Nov 1 · 4:25 PM EST

74%Patriots25
26%Dolphins18

Our prediction: New England Patriots · Win probability Patriots 74.3% / Dolphins 25.7%

Projected score: Patriots 25, Dolphins 18

  • Patriots (4-3) rate +4.5 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Dolphins (1-5) −4.4.
  • Dolphins score 16.3 and allow 26.2 per game; Patriots score 22.9 and allow 20.4.
  • Dolphins have been better lately: last 3 results L by 5, L by 7, W by 3.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders

Sun Nov 1 · 8:20 PM EST

46%Eagles23
54%Commanders24

Our prediction: Washington Commanders · Win probability Eagles 46.3% / Commanders 53.7%

Projected score: Eagles 23, Commanders 24

  • Commanders are at home; home teams have won by 1.0 points more on average in this season's data, as we weight it.
  • Commanders (1-4-1) rate −5.7 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Eagles (2-5) −5.9.
  • Commanders score 22 and allow 28.7 per game; Eagles score 18.1 and allow 25.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks

Mon Nov 2 · 8:15 PM EST

45%Bears21
55%Seahawks23

Our prediction: Seattle Seahawks · Win probability Bears 45.1% / Seahawks 54.9%

Projected score: Bears 21, Seahawks 23

  • Bears have been worse lately: last 3 results L by 24, W by 8, W by 6.
  • Bears have faced the tougher schedule (average opponent +1.4 vs −1.7 for Seahawks).
  • Seahawks (4-3) rate +3.3 points per game after adjusting for opponents, Bears (5-2) +5.1.

One game played out

  1. Run a sim to play one version of this game.
What if…

Moving a rating by a few points can stand in for an injury. These settings stay in your browser.

How the simulator works

Each team gets a rating from this season's ESPN results: its average scoring margin, adjusted for how good its opponents were (strength of schedule), plus a 25% nudge for how its last 3 games compared with that rating. The home team gets a 1.0-point edge, measured from this season's home results (none at neutral sites). We then play each game 10,000 times with random margins drawn from a bell curve (spread 10.4 points, fit from how far results landed from the ratings) and report how often each side wins. Built from 108 completed games. Teams with fewer than 2 completed games are not rated.

Full Week 8 schedule with TV → · All predictions